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- In this paper, the cointegrating test, vector autoregression model and variance decomposition are used to analyze the dynamic effect of energy fiscal policies between 1993 and 2006 in China. 摘要以财税政策为例分析了我国能源政策的调节效应。首先,运用协整检验、向量误差修正和方差分解技术对中国1993-2006年能源财税政策的动态效应作了实证分析。
- Structural Vector Autoregression Model (SVAR) 结构向量自回归
- The study then use Vector Autoregressive Model(VAR), Cointegration and vector error correction model(VECM) to examine the relationship among variables. 因此,本研究旨在探讨影响通货流通馀额变动的主要因素,以利对货币变动行为的背后逻辑有所掌握。
- The results validate more validity of nonlinear error correction model on the wavelet neural network than linear vector autoregressive model, and forecast validly the nonlinear economy system. 研究证明,小波神经网络所建立的非线性误差校正模型有较好的预测效果,能够有效地预测非线性经济系统。
- Keywords price making of natural gas;vector autoregression model;price forecasting; 天然气定价;多维自回归模型;价格预测;
- For multiple stationary time series Granger causality tests and vector autoregressive models are presented. 多平稳时间序列,"格兰其"成员因果律测试和自回归模式给的矢量。
- Recursive Vector Autoregressive Model (RVAR) 递归VAR
- vector autoregression model 向量自回归模型
- Variances Estimation of A Sequence Forecasted by An Autoregression Model. 自回归模型的预测方差估计。
- vector autoregression ( VAR ) model 向量自回归模型
- Vector Autoregression(VAR ) Model 向量自回归模型
- The idea of seemingly unrelated autoregression model for time series was developed and applied to forecasts of Chinese inflation and foreign economy. 摘要对时间序列提出半相依自回归模型的概念,并将其应用于我国通货膨胀与对外经济的预测。
- vector autoregressive model 向量自回归模型
- The prediction formula and its error estimation are also established.Its regression and time-varying autoregression model is presented. 在此基础上建立时变序列预测公式及误差估计公式,给出其回归与时变自回归模型。
- Asymptotic distribution of parameter estimated matrix for vector autoregressive models 向量自回归模型参数估计矩阵的渐近分布
- In this paper,the fundamentals modelling method, and forecastion method of threshold and autoregression model of monlinear time series analysis are explained. 本文概述了非线性时序分析的门限自回归模型的基本原理、建模和预报方法;
- The autoregressive model is applied to the monthly runoff probability forecast. 把自回归模型用于月径流过程概率预报中。
- Directed Acyclic Graph Modeling for the Structural Vector Autoregression 结构VAR的有向非循环图模型
- This paper, based on Granger causality test in a vector autoregressive process, empirically analyzed the money supply in China. 在向量自回归模型基础上,通过格兰杰因果检验对我国货币供给的内生性或外生性作了实证检验。
- Shipping ,bulk carrier ,ship price ,hire rate ,vector autoregression 关键词:海运;散装;船价;租金;向量自我迴归