The paper uses the theory and method of Markov Chain to construct the transition probability matrix of land structure and predict the land structure in 2010 and 2020,and analyzes the features of land structure transition.

• 运用马尔柯夫链的理论与方法,构建1996-2004年间扬州市土地利用类型转移的概率矩阵,预测扬州市2010和2020年的土地利用结构,并分析了其变化特征。