According to the facts,an amendatory grey model(AGM(1,1) for short) and its stages are supposed,and are used to predict the yearly total number of internal travelers in one province.

• 基于这种情况,该文提出改进的灰色预测模型AGM(1,1)及建模步骤,利用该模型实例预测某省参加国内游的年度总人数,并与传统的灰色预测模型结果相比较。