Thus, providing for a latency period of approximately half a year between credit contraction and economic collapse, based on my Olympic Games timing, I would pinpoint the bust for 2009.

• 因此，考虑到在信贷收缩与经济崩溃之间有大约半年的延宕期，基于我的奥运会时间点，我将崩溃确定在2009年。