This paper brings forward the mathematics model that confirms the predication by combining the fuzzy and probability theoretics.It expresses the abstract problem via frondose mathematics expressions.

• 通过模糊数学与概率论相结合分析提出了确定预测敏感指标的数学模型,把抽象的敏感指标确定问题通过具体的数值表示了出来。