Then this method is tested by the real CERNET traffic data.It is clearly that this new method is suitable to the traffic estimating and forecasting.

• 利用CERNET华中地区主干网的实测流量数据对该模型进行检验，所有检验周期网络流量预测值的相对误差均值为4.；58%25，表明网络流量估计和预测模型具有较强的适用性。