The patterns of urban tourism are analyzed and the archetypical structure model leading the changes of the behaviors is built by applying the complexity theory and the tool of system dynamics.

• 摘要运用复杂系统的理论和系统动力学的工具，分析城市旅游的增长模式，构建城市旅游增长的基本模型，为城市旅游政策制定提供参考。