The paper designs a risk alarming index system for business logis tics outsourcing,sets up the risk alarming line and describes the basic process of logistics outsourcing risk-alarming evaluation.

• 从外部环境、企业内部、管理过程、信息传递四个方面设计了物流外包风险预警指标体系,确立了风险预警线,表明了模糊综合因素评价法是物流外包风险预警评价估计的有效方法,并重点描述了物流外包风险预警评价的基本过程。