The forecast waterborne cargo volume in Jiangsu is done in the sixth section, many mathematic models, such as grey model GM(1,1) and linear regression analysis, have been used here and qualitative analyses such as Delphi techniques are also used.

 
  • 第六部分江苏省内河货运总量预测,利用数学模型进行江苏省内河货运总量预测,包括二次指数平滑法、灰色模型GM(1,1)、弹性系数法、多元线性回归法的定量预测模型,此外还结合德尔菲法、情景分析法的定性预测方法,得到江苏省内河航运未来二十年(水平年:2010年,2020年)的内河总货运量的预测结论。
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