Most economistsstill expect a surplus for the year as a whole, but a much reduced one of perhaps 1% of GDP, down from apeak of 4.8% in 2007.

• 3月9号公布的数据可能显示1月份贸易赤字。经济学家仍预期全年贸易盈余，但是预计经常帐盈余占GDP比例将从2007年的最高值4.；8%25下滑至1%25。