Forecast method in econometric analysis has been analyzed and commented. The advantagesand limitation of forecast by econometric method are analyzed,and the new development is also ex-plained.

• 本文对经济计量分析中的预测方法作了分析和评述，剖析了用计量经济方法来预测的优点和局限性，并阐述了预测方法的新发展。