By collecting and coordinating data, the paper calculates the IPD size of Shanxi province now.Also the paper use the existing date forecast the IPD distributing of future.

• 借助于有关数据的整理收集，测算了陕西省的隐性债务的规模，同时利用现有的资料对未来隐性债务的趋势分布进行了预测。