Among most of the twenty seven designed scenarios, the NPFS has better performance than the methods that widely adopted in practice, such as moving average.

• 在情境分析中，本研究所提出之解决方案有相当良好的表现，与一般实务上所采用的一期或多期移动平均作比较，本研究之解决方案在大部份情境下皆有较准确的预测结果。