After the thoroughly study of the BP neural network, gray systematic theory and SVM, aiming at their insufficiencies, new methods are raised and new forecasting model is created.

• 本论文通过对BP神经网络、灰色系统理论和支持向量机的深入研究，针对其中的不足，提出了新的解决方法，建立了新的预测模型。