After case study of Line 306 in Changchun bus company using the basic principles and test methods of moving average,it turns out that this approach is credible in forecasting bus operating time.

• 利用移动平均法的基本原理和检验方法,结合采集到的长春市公交306路的运行时间数据进行了实证研究,结果表明该方法可以用于公交车运行时间的预测。